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Sunday, October 12, 2025

The True ROI of EdTech: A Board's Guide to Investing in AI Fluency

 

Executive Summary

The rapid integration of Artificial Intelligence into every facet of society presents educational institutions with a choice: treat it as a marginal IT expenditure or embrace it as the most significant strategic investment of our time. This article argues against the common boardroom blunder of viewing AI through a narrow lens of operational cost-savings. Instead, it posits that the true return on investment (ROI) from AI is realized only when boards champion a holistic, top-down investment in "AI fluency"—a core competency for every student. We propose a practical, three-pillar investment framework for boards to guide this transformation: 1) The Technology Foundation, focusing on robust infrastructure and data governance; 2) The Pedagogical Application, centered on curriculum redesign and authentic assessment; and 3) The People Enablement, driven by sustained faculty development. By shifting the focus from short-term efficiency gains to the long-term enhancement of our core product—capable, future-ready graduates—we can secure not just financial sustainability, but institutional relevance for decades to come. This is a guide for leaders to move beyond the hype and make the strategic, disciplined investments that will define the future of learning.



The conversation in every university and international school boardroom today is haunted by two letters: AI. For some, they represent a bewildering technological wave threatening to upend centuries of pedagogical tradition. For others, they are a siren song of efficiency, promising streamlined operations and reduced overheads. Both views are dangerously incomplete.

As someone who has spent over two decades navigating the intersection of educational leadership, digital transformation, and financial stewardship, I have witnessed numerous technology cycles. I have seen institutions make bold investments that paid off spectacularly and others that resulted in little more than expensive, underutilized software. The current AI moment is different in scale, but not in principle. The greatest risk we face is not the technology itself, but a failure of strategic vision at the governance level.

The common blunder is to relegate AI to the IT department, treating it as a line item to be managed rather than a strategic asset to be leveraged. This approach invariably leads to fragmented, siloed projects that fail to create systemic value. A recent analysis highlights that a significant portion of digital transformation initiatives fail to meet their objectives, often due to a disconnect between technological implementation and strategic integration (Gartner, 2021). The true challenge for boards is not to buy AI, but to invest in a fundamental shift in the institution's operating model—a shift toward what I call the Dual ROI.


Part 1: Redefining ROI – From Operational Savings to Institutional Relevance

For any board, fiscal responsibility is paramount. The temptation to justify AI investment solely through operational ROI—cost savings in administration, admissions processing, or energy consumption—is immense. These are tangible, easily quantifiable metrics that look good on a balance sheet. During my tenure as Vice Chancellor of the Papua New Guinea University of Technology, we achieved a 25% reduction in operational expenses, a critical part of a turnaround that led to our first-ever unqualified audit. I am a firm believer in fiscal discipline.

Monday, September 29, 2025

Supercharging the Smile: How Generative AI is Reshaping Value Creation in Business and Education

 

Executive Summary

The "Smiling Curve," a model developed by Acer founder Stan Shih, illustrates that the highest economic value in a product's lifecycle is concentrated in "upstream" (R&D, design) and "downstream" (branding, marketing, services) activities, while "midstream" manufacturing yields the lowest returns (Shih, 1996). This report argues that the advent of Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) is a paradigm-shifting force, dramatically amplifying the high-value ends of the Smiling Curve and reshaping the nature of competitive advantage. For businesses, GenAI is evolving into an essential co-pilot for innovation and market creation, with studies projecting it could add trillions to the global economy (McKinsey Global Institute, 2023). For the education sector, this transformation renders traditional knowledge-transfer models obsolete, creating a strategic imperative to cultivate "AI fluency"—the sophisticated human capability to collaborate critically and creatively with intelligent systems (Mollick, 2023). The future of economic leadership will be determined not by a competition between humans and machines, but by the symbiotic efficacy of a skilled workforce augmented by generative AI, focused on creating unprecedented value at the edges of the smile.




1.0 Introduction: The Smiling Curve in the Age of Generative AI

First articulated in the 1990s to explain the value dynamics of the IT industry, Stan Shih’s Smiling Curve has become a durable framework for understanding global value chains (GVCs). It posits that as manufacturing processes become commoditized and offshored, value migrates to intangible assets like intellectual property and brand equity (Shih, 1996; Dedrick, Kraemer, & Linden, 2010). Today, this model is being profoundly reshaped by Generative AI, a class of models, particularly Large Language Models (LLMs) built on the Transformer architecture (Vaswani et al., 2017), capable of creating novel and coherent content.

Unlike analytical AI, which excels at classification and prediction, GenAI is a tool for creation and synthesis. This capability allows it to function as a "general-purpose technology," with the potential for widespread economic and societal impact akin to the steam engine or the internet (Brynjolfsson, Rock, & Syverson, 2018). This report analyzes how GenAI is amplifying value across the Smiling Curve, first within business and then exploring the urgent implications for the educational systems that must cultivate the next generation of talent.

2.0 Generative AI's Impact on the Business Value Chain

GenAI acts as a value amplifier across the entire production process, but its most transformative effects are concentrated on the knowledge-intensive ends of the Smiling Curve.

2.1 Amplifying the "Left Side" (Upstream: R&D, Concept, Design)
The upstream phase of innovation is being radically accelerated by GenAI:

  • Accelerated R&D: In life sciences, GenAI models can predict protein structures and design novel molecules, drastically shortening drug discovery timelines from years to months (Jumper et al., 2021).
  • Rapid Prototyping and Ideation: Product teams now use text-to-image models (e.g., Midjourney, DALL-E 3) to generate a multitude of design concepts, enabling faster iteration and more divergent creative exploration than traditional methods allow.
  • Code Generation and Software Engineering: Tools like GitHub Copilot, acting as AI pair programmers, have been shown to increase developer productivity and satisfaction by automating boilerplate code and assisting with complex problem-solving (Ziegler et al., 2022). This frees human engineers to focus on higher-order tasks like system architecture and user experience.

2.2 Amplifying the "Right Side" (Downstream: Marketing, Branding, Sales, Services)
The downstream phase, focused on market creation and customer relationships, is being redefined by GenAI-powered personalization and efficiency:

  • Hyper-Personalized Marketing: GenAI enables a shift from demographic segmentation to true one-to-one marketing, creating thousands of unique ad variations, email campaigns, and landing pages tailored to individual user behavior and preferences (McKinsey Global Institute, 2023).
  • Enhanced Customer Service: LLM-powered chatbots are moving beyond simple FAQs to handle complex, multi-turn conversations, providing sophisticated, 24/7 customer support. This elevates human agents to the role of handling the most sensitive and critical customer issues, increasing overall service quality (Brynjolfsson, Li, & Raymond, 2023).
  • Content and Brand Creation: GenAI significantly lowers the cost and time required for high-quality content marketing, capable of generating blog posts, video scripts, and social media campaigns that align with a consistent brand voice.

3.0 The Educational Imperative: From Digital Literacy to AI Fluency

The rise of GenAI demands a fundamental re-evaluation of educational goals. When any student has access to an AI that can answer factual questions, write essays, and solve standard problems, the value of rote memorization collapses. The new educational imperative is to cultivate AI Fluency, a concept that moves beyond basic digital literacy to encompass a deeper set of collaborative and critical skills (Mollick, 2023).

3.1 Redefining Core Competencies for the AI Era
The most valuable human skills are no longer about information recall, but about leveraging AI to generate, validate, and synthesize information. Curricula must be reoriented to prioritize:

  • Prompt Engineering and Critical AI Interaction: The ability to craft precise and effective prompts to guide AI is a new and essential skill. This involves an iterative process of questioning, refining, and steering AI to produce desired and nuanced outcomes.
  • Critical Thinking and Validation: AI models are known to "hallucinate" or generate plausible-sounding falsehoods (Ji et al., 2023). Education must therefore relentlessly focus on teaching students to be skeptical consumers of AI output, equipping them with the skills to fact-check, identify bias, and validate information against reliable sources. The human role evolves from being a source of knowledge to a critical evaluator of it.
  • Ethical AI Use and Governance: Students must be explicitly taught the ethical dimensions of AI, including data privacy, algorithmic bias, intellectual property, and the societal consequences of deploying these technologies (O'Neil, 2016; Acemoglu & Johnson, 2023).
  • Creativity and Synthesis: As AI takes over routine "first draft" tasks, the premium on human value shifts to higher-order synthesis—the ability to combine disparate ideas into a novel, coherent, and strategic whole.

3.2 Practical Applications and Pedagogical Shifts
Instead of banning these powerful tools, innovative educators are integrating them to augment learning:

  • Personalized Socratic Tutors: AI can be configured to act as a debate partner, challenging students' arguments and forcing them to provide evidence, thereby honing critical thinking in a scalable way (Mollick & Mollick, 2023).
  • Creative Catalysts: In writing and design, AI can serve as a brainstorming partner, helping students overcome creative blocks and explore a wider range of possibilities.
  • Simulations and Scaffolding: GenAI can create complex, interactive scenarios for practicing decision-making and provide scaffolding for students learning difficult tasks, like coding or statistical analysis, by offering hints and breaking down problems.

4.0 System-Level Challenges and the "Human-in-the-Loop" Imperative

The integration of GenAI is fraught with challenges. For businesses, risks include data security, IP leakage, and brand damage from inaccurate AI outputs. For education, the challenges include the "AI divide" (inequitable access), the urgent need for teacher retraining, and the difficulty of designing assessments that are resistant to AI-driven cheating (Thorp, 2023).

The most robust framework for addressing these challenges is the Human-in-the-Loop (HITL) model. This model positions AI as a powerful cognitive tool that requires human oversight, judgment, and strategic direction (Shneiderman, 2022). The goal is not full automation, but effective augmentation. The human provides the contextual understanding, ethical compass, and final accountability, while the AI provides speed, scale, and access to vast information.

Saturday, September 27, 2025

Beyond the Hype: A New Benchmark Is Measuring AI's Real-World Economic Power

Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, has made a startling observation: AI intelligence could become 10 times more powerful every year, while the cost to train it falls by the same factor. This blistering pace of advancement, far outstripping the famous Moore's Law, signals a technological and economic revolution unlike any we've seen before.

But with such rapid progress, a critical question emerges: How do we measure this explosive growth in a way that matters? Academic scores and theoretical tests are one thing, but how is AI performing on the complex, nuanced tasks that drive our economy?


A groundbreaking new paper from OpenAI, titled "GDPval: EVALUATING AI MODEL PERFORMANCE ON REAL-WORLD ECONOMICALLY VALUABLE TASKS," provides a crucial answer. The paper introduces a new benchmark, GDPval, designed to move AI evaluation out of the lab and into the real world. It’s not about solving puzzles; it’s about performing the actual work that professionals do every day. The benchmark is built from 1,320 tasks sourced directly from industry experts across 44 different occupations—from lawyers drafting briefs and engineers refining CAD designs to financial analysts building forecasts.

The findings are nothing short of stunning. The study reveals that today's frontier AI models, such as GPT-5 and Claude Opus 4.1, are already approaching the quality of deliverables produced by seasoned human experts. This isn't just about getting the calculations right or providing a factually correct answer. The evaluation shows that these models can create work that meets demanding professional standards in structure, style, accuracy, and even aesthetics.

However, a moment of reflection is necessary. While these results from the GDPval benchmark are undeniably impressive, it is important to temper expectations about their immediate impact in the average workplace. As history has shown with transformative technologies like electricity and the personal computer, there is often a significant lag between a technology's invention and its full, economy-wide integration. The real world is not a controlled experiment. Productivity gains may be slower to materialize as organizations navigate the complexities of adopting new workflows, overcoming regulatory hurdles, addressing cultural resistance, and making the necessary procedural changes. The GDPval paper itself alludes to this historical pattern, reminding us that the transition from a powerful tool to a ubiquitous productivity driver is a journey, not an instantaneous leap.

Despite this, as AI capabilities continue their exponential climb, benchmarks like GDPval become essential. They provide the clear, attributable data we need to understand the true economic impact of this technology and prepare for the future of work. The conversation is no longer a theoretical debate about what AI might do one day. The data is here, and it shows that the era of AI-augmented professional work has already begun.


References

Patwardhan, T., Dias, R., Proehl, E., Kim, G., Wang, M., Watkins, O., Fishman, S. P., Aljubeh, M., Thacker, P., Fauconnet, L., Kim, N. S., Chao, P., Miserendino, S., Chabot, G., Li, D., Sharman, M., Barr, A., Glaese, A., & Tworek, J. (2025). GDPval: EVALUATING AI MODEL PERFORMANCE ON REAL-WORLD ECONOMICALLY VALUABLE TASKS. OpenAI. Retrieved from https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d5eb7428-c4e9-4a33-bd86-86dd4bcf12ce/GDPval.pdf

Saturday, September 20, 2025

AI Detectors in Education: A Head-to-Head Comparison of the Top 5 Platforms

AI Detection Platforms: A Comprehensive Evaluation for the Modern IB School

Section 1: Introduction

The International Baccalaureate Diploma Programme (IB DP) is built on a foundation of academic rigor, demanding original thought and scrupulous research in high-stakes assessments like the Extended Essay and TOK essay. The rapid mainstreaming of sophisticated Large Language Models (LLMs) presents a formidable challenge to this core principle of academic integrity. In response, this report furnishes a definitive, evidence-based analysis of the current AI detection tool landscape. It is designed for the Academic Integrity Committee to move beyond a simplistic "ban" and toward a nuanced, pedagogical strategy. The core objective is to critically evaluate which tools are most reliable, to understand their inherent error rates, and to determine how they can be ethically integrated into a framework that prioritizes student dialogue over premature punitive action. This analysis will serve as the foundational document for a policy where the consequences of both false accusations (false positives) and missed misconduct (false negatives) are exceptionally severe.



Sunday, September 7, 2025

Flintk12 AI: A Teacher's Timesaver or Just Another Tool? A Full Platform Review

 Here is Jasper, the cat, giving his take on EdTech 


Introduction

The educational technology market is currently saturated, with dozens of new AI-powered platforms emerging each month. For teachers, who are already overwhelmed by their workloads, this creates significant confusion. They have little time or patience for experimentation with unproven tools.

The situation is equally challenging for school leadership teams. Without an established technology evaluation process, they face a confusing landscape. This often leads to one of two undesirable outcomes: institutional inaction, where decisions are indefinitely postponed, or "vendor-led adoption," where purchasing decisions are driven by a compelling sales pitch rather than pedagogical need. This technology review of Flintk12, which is probably one of the top-3 platforms that is now widefly beging adopted - is intended to diminish some of that pressure. It provides a structured, evidence-based assessment to help educators and administrators navigate the market and make informed decisions.



Beginning with the assessment criteria and we will be moving through a detailed analysis, practical examples, a final evaluation, and a summary table.

Educational Technology Review Synopsis: Flint K12


The report available upon request, provides a short but comprehensive evaluation of the Flint AI educational platform, based on the information presented on its official website and personal experience in the classroom. The platform positions itself as an all-in-one, school-focused AI solution designed to provide personalized learning for students and time-saving tools for educators.

Flint's primary strengths lie in its extensive and clearly articulated feature set, which addresses a wide range of subjects and administrative needs. The platform's explicit commitment to student data privacy—specifically the claim that it does not use student data to train its models—and its accessibility for students under 13 are significant differentiators in the EdTech market.



Sunday, August 31, 2025

Teacher Aid, AI Tutor, or Digital Creator? How to Choose the Right AI Strategy for Your School

 Introduction

The rapid emergence of Artificial Intelligence into the educational landscape presents both a monumental opportunity and a significant challenge for school districts. No longer a futuristic concept, AI-powered tools are now readily available, each promising to revolutionize learning, streamline teacher workflows, and personalize instruction. For district leadership, the challenge is to look past the marketing hype and make discerning, strategic investments that are grounded in sound pedagogy and deliver tangible value to our students and educators.

This report provides a comprehensive, deep-dive assessment of three leading AI-powered platforms. Its purpose is to equip the district's leadership team and its primary and middle school educators with a clear, unbiased, and evidence-based analysis to inform our upcoming technology adoption. The evaluation is conducted through the lens of a rigorous, multi-faceted framework that prioritizes genuine learning impact, practical classroom implementation, and the well-being of our teachers.


Justification for the Selection of Technologies

The selection of LittleLit AI, Squirrel AI, and Brisk Teaching for this deep-dive assessment was deliberate and strategic. These platforms were not chosen because they are direct competitors, but because they represent three distinct and powerful philosophies for leveraging AI in education. By evaluating them side-by-side, we are not merely choosing a product; we are making a conscious decision about the strategic role AI will play in our schools.

The Teacher and the Tool: A Story of Transformation

Introduction Sarah, a ten-year veteran of high school English and History, felt the familiar weight of a Sunday evening. The glow of her l...